Tuesday, November 13, 2018

Morning in America or is it two mornings?

I was very curious in what would happen in this midterm election, knowing historically the party opposite the president often has a good midterm election, even a "wave", especially when the president's party is also in the majority. And despite historic lower voter turn out for democrats, this year followed the pattern. There was a "blue wave", even if partly offset by a smaller "red wave" - there was historic high midterm turnout for both parties, and we can say that's good for democracy, although bad if the majority of voters on all sides are voting against the opposition rather than for their candidates. My state of Minnesota had record high voter turnout, and highest in the nation at 65%. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-2018-midterms-in-4-charts And this and included a 5-6% vote for TWO marijuana parties for state level office, so we'll have two major parties now for legalizing marijuana, and the governor winner, Tim Walz also supports legalization. So maybe its finally time for decriminalization, whatever steps follow. I'm not interested in weed myself, and wouldn't choose to live with a smoker of any sort, I also don't think policing it is a good use of law enforcement time or attention, and it ends up being enforced more against lower class people and minorities than middle class people and whites. So its time, whatever the price, we should discourage marijuana by means of persuasion, not fear of fines and punishment. So maybe we have 3 mornings in America, with the pro-weed movement seeing the light, and a critical mass is close. And it will likely be a few election cycles to get change as far as proponents want, but you have to imagine the destination is regulation and freedom similar to tobacco. The only question is how much in taxes can be collected by regulated marijuana products, and what those taxes can do to keep abuse from increasing with this new freedom. And things are not done yet, with at least two recounts in Florida, and Democrats up 34 seats, with 10 seats left to be determined, so much smaller than the 63 seat gain by the republicans in 2010, 54 seats in 1994, but bigger than the 31 seat gain by the democrats in 2006. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections,_2018 I don't know if the Democrats new House majority should be used to impeach Trump. The problem with Trump is that he's largely an open book, and his supporters largely know the same things everyone knows about him, and they don't care, and nearly 49 million people voted Republican in 2018, so they are the ones who have to change their opinion on Trump, and that won't happen because they democrats fight harder. Perhaps the Mueller will raise "high crimes" by Trump, but so far it looks like his best defense is that everyone knows his wealth came by being a greedy bastard, and America still loves greedy bastards, as long as they're entertaining. And we're all being properly entertained, and republicans get their tax cuts and deregulation, so until the economy crashes on new debt, everyone can just try to fight harder for their share in the expanding debt pie. I don't believe its Morning in America, but I don't know what future we're entering. I see technology is doing amazing things. We're literally exploring new worlds across the solar system and running robots on Mars, and SpaceX promises we'll find a way to exploit space travel for profits beyond just telecommunications, but it soon will become a place businesses go, not just governments trying to show their superiority. And there's so many billionaires, they can burn their money at a maximum rate, and they may be best to do that, before the debt bubble comes crashing down. But I see we do more and more by using more and more one-time resources, and fossil fuels are not sufficient to make 7.5 billion people do what 300 million Americans do now, much less in 80 years with 12 billion aspiring people. I can have some hope that alternative energy can do more and more, but I have more hope if we can live on less energy than we need now, and our interconnected world, hasn't clearly reduced our energy consumption. So my fears won't be relieved until we really can say "we no longer need fossil fuels", while I expect we'll reduce consumption because of a depression than by choice. So my projections stay along with James Howard Kunstler's long emergency - energy crises are coming, ecological crises are coming, and debt crises are coming, and they're all related, and debt is not a sign of our great success, but the last grasping for a future that will never come. When energy growth stops, the economy stops. Debt is the offset, and we're making a bet that has no plan B when it fails. I don't know if democracy can survive decline, and people like Trump, people worse that Trump will rise and do terrible things. And Trump is just showing the way to all.

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